Connect with us

NFL

Patrick Mahomes, Ja’Marr Chase, George Kittle, and . . . Michael Burton?

Published

on

[ad_1]

If you enjoy making NFL bets on player touchdowns, then welcome to this rundown of our favorite anytime TD scorer predictions for both Conference Championship games this weekend. We’ve analyzed each game’s highest-probability scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are the best bets to reach the end zone. All prop bets are taken from DraftKings, FanDuel, or BetMGM.

NFL Anytime TD Scorer Predictions for the Conference Championships

The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics culled from decades of NFL historical data. Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes.

Ja’Marr Chase (Even) — DraftKings

I was expecting to see odds around -120 to -130. Instead, we’re greeted with a 50/50 bet on one of the game’s top receivers versus one of the most vulnerable pass defenses.

MORE: NFL Playoff Bracket Predictions

Surely, KC will try to lock down Ja’Marr Chase. They were moderately successful earlier this season — if we count holding him to a 7-97-0 receiving line “successful.” Given how many weapons Cincy has on offense and how the Chiefs lost anyway when they last met, I imagine there will be some defensive adjustments — albeit none that can shut Chase down.

Travis Kelce (+105) — FanDuel

Last week, Travis Kelce’s best TD odds were -140. So why is he now not favored to score? Perhaps because the Jacksonville Jaguars gave up seven touchdowns to opposing tight ends during the regular season, while the Cincinnati Bengals surrendered only three.

DraftKings Promo - Bet $5, Win $150
Want to win a free $150 on the NFL this season? As a new user on DraftKings Sportsbook, you can bet $5 and win $150 if your team wins!

But if that’s a primary reason for Kelce’s drop-off, then I’m not buying it. He remains Patrick Mahomes’ No. 1 target. The all-world TE has now reached the end zone 14 times in 13 playoff games since 2017, scoring in 10 of them (77%). Additionally, he owns a sterling 82% postseason catch rate since 2019 (87 receptions on 106 targets).

George Kittle (+190) — BetMGM

During the regular season, TEs racked up a modest 111-701-3 receiving line against San Francisco. In a bizarre coincidence, TEs collected a nearly identical 110-732-3 line versus Philly.

To be clear, these are not favorable conditions for George Kittle (or, as we’ll see below, Dallas Goedert). But Kittle has been locked in since Brock Purdy took the helm. His lack of touchdowns in the playoffs is irrelevant. He’s caught all seven targets in the postseason — including one of the most impressive postseason receptions in years — and is a weekly scoring threat.

Dallas Goedert (+240) — FanDuel

Pushed him last week. Pushing him again. I’ve got the Nines winning this one. But if any Eagle can exceed expectations, it might be Goedert. On another team with fewer high-end receivers, he might be the No. 2 TE in the league. For now, he’s simply a top target in an offense that needs to get creative to compete with San Francisco.

Hayden Hurst (+320) — FanDuel

While I don’t like chasing points, I like how Hayden Hurst has been utilized since returning to the field in Week 18: 17 targets in three contests.

MORE: Bengals vs. Chiefs Predictions

He’s the No. 4 or No. 5 option in this stellar offense facing one of the most pass-friendly Kansas City defenses in years — which happens to have yielded the most receiving scores in the league.

Patrick Mahomes (+850) — FanDuel

I like to bet when markets are frightened. To be clear, I don’t want a bunch of scared people running around, screaming about zombies and such. But fear tends to make bettors less rational, and that’s a good thing if we can stare fear in the face and make it run away… in fear.

Mahomes’ high-ankle sprain is concerning. He might not run much. Of course, the Chiefs are one win away from the Super Bowl. There’s no tomorrow if they lose. Up close, we might imagine Mahomes passing or Isiah Pacheco or Jerick McKinnon trying to break the plane.

Or, Mahomes might lunge for the end zone or get pushed from behind. At +850 odds, knowing how effective he’s been over the years (13 rushing scores from 10 yards out or less), he’s a solid bet.

Michael Burton (+2700) — FanDuel

We’re nearing the end of the season, so let’s have some fun. Michael Burton is listed at 243 pounds. The 30-year-old has two career TDs, including last season to open the scoring against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 15.

MORE: NFL Conference Championship Predictions and Picks Against the Spread

Burton is a hedge of sorts for Mahomes. Including Josh Allen last week, the Bengals have surrendered nine rushing scores from the 4-yard line or closer. Mahomes scored from three yards out when these teams last met. There’s an opening for a little-used specialist like Burton to pound the ball in from the half-yard line.



[ad_2]

Source link

NFL

Taylor Swift Is Shown Chugging a Beer on the Jumbotron at Super Bowl 58

Published

on

By

[ad_1]

Global superstar Taylor Swift made it to the big game to support her boyfriend, Kansas City Chiefs star tight end Travis Kelce. In the second quarter, it was evident that she was having a good time at the Super Bowl after taking a 12-hour flight from Tokyo the night prior.

Taylor Swift Seen Chugging Beer at Super Bowl

Swift’s attendance has been highly anticipated, as many fans questioned whether she would be able to make it to the big game since she had been in Japan until Saturday for her Eras Tour.

Sure enough, she made it to the Super Bowl and was seen making a grand entrance alongside Blake Lively and Ice Spice.

Swift made it back to the States with plenty of time to make it to Allegiant Stadium to support Kelce. After a leg of her Eras Tour, where she performed several nights in Japan, the singer appeared to let loose.

In a box full of friends, Swift was shown chugging a beer with Ashley Avignone. She was shown on the jumbotron and slammed her cup down after she finished her beer.

There was a mix of cheers and boos as Swift was shown on the big screen, and a long pass to Mecole Hardman was the only highlight of the first half for Swift and her friends. The 49ers led the Chiefs, 10-0, late in the second quarter.

On social media, Swift garnered plenty of support from NFL fans.

If you’re hating on her you can kick rocks man she’s the best,” one user posted on X

“The one thing I learned this season is that she is actually fun,” another said. 

“Booing Taylor Swift chugging a beer is so soft. She’s just one of us now and I respect it ,” another posted. 

At the time of the beer chugging, Kelce, Taylor Swift’s boyfriend, has had one catch for a single yard. It came on the first possession, which ended up being a three-and-out. The Kansas City Chiefs hadn’t done much otherwise.

They did have a deep pass play to Hardman, which put them in the red zone, but Isiah Pacheco fumbled on the very next play — one that Kelce was surprisingly on the sideline for.

Swift and Kelce have garnered much media attention as their romance has taken off throughout this NFL season.

Swift was able to support her boyfriend at many of his games throughout the final stretch of the season, as her Eras Tour was on a break. But starting on Feb. 7, she went back on the road.

MORE: NFL World Reacts to Unbelievable Super Bowl Trick Play

Despite performing in Tokyo the night before the Super Bowl, she was able to make it in time to support her boyfriend due to the time difference and is having a good time doing so.

As the 2023 NFL season comes to a close, the 2024 NFL Draft is on the horizon. Pro Football Network has you covered with everything from team draft needs to the Top 100 prospects available. Plus, fire up PFN’s Mock Draft Simulator to put yourself in the general manager’s seat and make all the calls!

Listen to the PFN Fantasy Podcast

Listen to the PFN Fantasy Podcast! Click the embedded player below to listen, or you can find the PFN Fantasy Podcast on iTunes, Spotify, and all major podcast platforms.  Be sure to subscribe and leave us a five-star review! Rather watch instead? Check out the PFN Fantasy Podcast on our Fantasy YouTube channel.



[ad_2]

Source link

Continue Reading

NFL

What Happened to the 49ers Linebacker?

Published

on

By

[ad_1]

The San Francisco 49ers sustained a massive blow during the second quarter of Super Bowl 58, as linebacker Dre Greenlaw left the game on a medical cart.

CBS Sports confirmed that the veteran Greenlaw suffered an Achilles tear, ruling him out for the rest of the game against the Kansas City Chiefs.

What Happened to Dre Greenlaw?

The outside linebacker, who had already been battling past injuries to his hamstrings and calves, left with what appeared to be a leg injury.

And somehow, his left leg looked like it buckled as he tried to trot onto the field with the Niners’ defense.

Greenlaw clutched his left leg in agony before being helped off the field.

CBS Sports sideline reporter Evan Washburn reported that the outside linebacker left with what was ruled as a lower leg injury. He was later determined to sustain an Achilles injury.

Greenlaw was declared out for the rest of the game.

Greenlaw Carted Off in Passenger Seat

Even more noticeable was where Greenlaw sat on the cart.

He ended up leaving not in the back of the medical vehicle but ended up riding shotgun with his leg injury.

One would think that with an injury like an Achilles ailment, medical officials would try to make the player as comfortable as possible before they leave. It wasn’t the case here.

MORE: San Francisco 49ers Depth Chart

Regardless, Greenlaw was replaced by Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles for the rest of the first half. Greenlaw became the most significant injury of the game.

As the 2023 NFL season comes to a close, the 2024 NFL Draft is on the horizon. Pro Football Network has you covered with everything from team draft needs to the Top 100 prospects available. Plus, fire up PFN’s Mock Draft Simulator to put yourself in the general manager’s seat and make all the calls!

Listen to the PFN Fantasy Podcast

Listen to the PFN Fantasy Podcast! Click the embedded player below to listen, or you can find the PFN Fantasy Podcast on iTunes, Spotify, and all major podcast platforms.  Be sure to subscribe and leave us a five-star review! Rather watch instead? Check out the PFN Fantasy Podcast on our Fantasy YouTube channel.



[ad_2]

Source link

Continue Reading

NFL

NFL World Reacts to Epic Super Bowl Intro From CBS

Published

on

By

[ad_1]

Super Bowl 58 is here and it’s going to be exciting. The San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs are facing off in the final game of 2023.

CBS is broadcasting the game and the opening was nothing short of amazing. How is the NFL world reacting to the electric Super Bowl-opening video?

Epic CBS Super Bowl Intro Garners Reaction From NFL World

The video, which spanned four minutes and 19 seconds, featured players from both teams talking about the big game and what it means to them. It also featured their families talking about their journeys to this point.

“Amazing intro! Reminds me of my dad! Bravo on the intro!,” one NFL fan said on X (formerly known as Twitter)

Additionally, Frank Sinatra’s “My Way” played in the background, giving it a near-movie feel. “This was incredible.,” another person said on X. “And so, the @49ers and @Chiefs face that final curtain,” CBS Sports said.

The 49ers finished the regular season as the top seed in the NFC with a 12-5 record. After their first-round bye, they defeated both the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions to earn their trip to Las Vegas for the Super Bowl. Both of their victories came in comeback fashion, including an NFC Championship-record 17-point comeback.

The Chiefs, on the other hand, had a more uphill battle. Entering the playoffs as the AFC’s third seed, they finished the regular season with an 11-6 record. In the playoffs, they defeated the Miami Dolphins, Buffalo Bills, and Baltimore Ravens to punch their ticket.

Super Bowl 58 is a re-match of Super Bowl 54 when the Chiefs defeated the 49ers 31-24. The win was the first in Patrick Mahomes career, as he also won Super Bowl MVP. Four years later, the Chiefs have made three more and won another. For the 49ers, this is their first trip back to the big game since.

The game kicked off at 6:30 p.m. ET with the 49ers receiving the opening kick. In addition to being broadcast on CBS, the game is also being streamed on Paramount+.

As the 2023 NFL season comes to a close, the 2024 NFL Draft is on the horizon. Pro Football Network has you covered with everything from team draft needs to the Top 100 prospects available. Plus, fire up PFN’s Mock Draft Simulator to put yourself in the general manager’s seat and make all the calls!

Listen to the PFN Fantasy Podcast

Listen to the PFN Fantasy Podcast! Click the embedded player below to listen, or you can find the PFN Fantasy Podcast on iTunes, Spotify, and all major podcast platforms.  Be sure to subscribe and leave us a five-star review! Rather watch instead? Check out the PFN Fantasy Podcast on our Fantasy YouTube channel.



[ad_2]

Source link

Continue Reading
Advertisement

Trending