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Picks, Betting Lines, and Odds Shifts

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1 week ago

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Since the NFL Week 2 betting lines re-opened on Sunday night, there has been quite a lot of injury news that has led to some odds shifts across the slate. The most notable injury was Aaron Rodgers tearing his Achilles on Monday night in his New York Jets debut. Since then, the spread for Jets vs. Cowboys has gone up six points, as Dallas is now a nine-point favorite.

But how have the rest of the betting lines changed since Sunday night, and how do we approach Week 2? Do we fade the overreactions from Week 1, or are some of the surprise performances we saw for real? Let’s take a look and give you some early NFL Week 2 predictions and picks as well.

All the NFL betting odds at a moment’s notice — visit our Betting Lines page, bookmark now, and always get the best line and bang for your buck. Our FREE Parlay Calculator and Betting Odds Calculator are also available for your betting process!

NFL Week 2 Betting Lines

All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook, and the betting lines are as of 10:30 a.m. EST on Sept. 13.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Philadelphia Eagles Odds

  • Spread
    Opening: Eagles -7.5
    Current: Eagles -7
  • Moneyline
    Opening: Vikings +310, Eagles -390
    Current: Vikings +260, Eagles -325
  • Total
    Opening: 48.5
    Current: 49

Injuries to Eagles’ starters such as S Reed Blankenship, RB Kenneth Gainwell, and CB James Bradberry have caused this line to go down half a point. If this line drops even further to 6.5, I’m taking the Eagles at home against a much worse defense than New England’s, who gave them trouble last week.

NFL Pick and Prediction: Eagles -6.5 if it drops that far

Green Bay Packers vs. Atlanta Falcons Odds

  • Spread
    Opening: Packers -1
    Current: Packers -2
  • Moneyline
    Opening: Packers -108, Falcons -108
    Current: Packers -125, Falcons +105
  • Total
    Opening: 41.5
    Current: 40.5

Are the Packers getting a bit overvalued here after their blowout win over the Bears last week? Maybe, but even despite their win over the Panthers, Desmond Ridder’s play hasn’t instilled much confidence in the oddsmakers.

MORE: NFL Survivor Picks Week 2

This is a great matchup for the Falcons, who have one of the best rushing attacks in the NFL. Last season, Green Bay’s defense was 31st in success rate in stopping the run.

NFL Pick and Prediction: Falcons +2 (-112)

Chicago Bears vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds

  • Spread
    Opening: Buccaneers -2.5
    Current: Buccaneers -3
  • Moneyline
    Opening: Bears +116, Buccaneers -136
    Current: Bears +120, Buccaneers -142
  • Total
    Opening: 43.5
    Current: 41

Another line that might be an overreaction to Week 1. The Buccaneers were expected to be one of the worst teams this season, but suddenly a win against a fraudulent Vikings team has changed public perception this much?

I’ll be keeping an eye on this spread and seeing if I can get the hook with the Bears getting points.

NFL Pick and Prediction: Bears +3.5 if it gets there

Seattle Seahawks vs. Detroit Lions Odds

  • Spread
    Opening: Lions -4.5
    Current: Lions -5.5
  • Moneyline
    Opening: Seahawks +184, Lions -220
    Current: Seahawks +195, Lions -238
  • Total
    Opening: 50.5
    Current: 47.5

This is perhaps the biggest overreaction to Week 1. The Lions don’t beat the Chiefs if not for Kadarius Toney, and the lookahead line for this game was Detroit (-3) before Week 1.

The Seahawks looked terrible against the Rams last week, but you’re getting at least 2.5 points of value here. I grabbed the Seahawks at +6 already.

NFL Pick and Prediction: Seahawks +6 (-110) placed earlier this week

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Tennessee Titans Odds

  • Spread
    Opening: Chargers -2.5
    Current: Chargers -3
  • Moneyline
    Opening: Chargers -146, Titans +124
    Current: Chargers -155, Titans +130
  • Total
    Opening: 46.5
    Current: 45.5

Like the Steelers were last week, the Titans are going to be the most popular underdog of the week with the betting public.

nfl week 2 predictions

Everyone knows the Titans under Mike Vrabel are very profitable against the spread as underdogs (24-15-1 ATS), and they’re at home against a Chargers team that almost always plays in close games. This almost seems too obvious to the point that I’m worried about falling into a trap with Tennessee.

NFL Pick and Prediction: Lean Titans +3 (-105)

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals Odds

  • Spread
    Opening: Bengals -3
    Current: Bengals -3.5
  • Moneyline
    Opening: Ravens +130, Bengals -154
    Current: Ravens +142, Bengals -170
  • Total
    Opening: 46
    Current: 46.5

Last week might have been an aberration for the Bengals as Joe Burrow looked extremely rusty, and they were playing in terrible weather conditions.

The Ravens, meanwhile, won by double digits over the Texans but suffered injuries to key players such as J.K. Dobbins, Marcus Williams, Ronnie Stanley, and Tyler Linderbaum.

I would’ve taken the Bengals (-3), but I missed out before the line moved up. Last season, all three Ravens-Bengals games went under this total, and I’m leaning that way again this week. Baltimore’s defense has had success against Cincinnati recently, and it looks like both offenses are having some early-season growing pains.

NFL Pick and Prediction: Under 46.5 (-110)

Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans Odds

  • Spread
    Opening: Colts -1.5
    Current: Colts -1
  • Moneyline
    Opening: Colts -112, Texans -104
    Current: Colts -115, Texans -105
  • Total
    Opening: 40.5
    Current: 40

The Colts kept most of the game close against the Jaguars last week. Meanwhile, the Texans’ 25-9 loss to the Ravens was closer than the score might indicate. Houston’s defense played well, but their offense struggled mightily. Yet, they get a much easier matchup against the Colts defense this week.

NFL Pick and Prediction: Lean Texans ML (-105)

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Odds

  • Spread
    Opening: Chiefs -3
    Current: Chiefs -3
  • Moneyline
    Opening: Chiefs -144, Jaguars +122
    Current: Chiefs -162, Jaguars +136
  • Total
    Opening: 51.5
    Current: 51

I bet this as soon as the line was briefly at Kansas City -2.5 earlier this week. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs don’t cover large spreads, but they’re very profitable as short favorites. In his career, Mahomes is 18-6-1 ATS as a favorite of less than three points.

MORE: 2023 NFL MVP Odds — Tua Tagovailoa New Co-Favorite with Patrick Mahomes

The Chiefs should also be getting both Travis Kelce and Chris Jones back this week. If not for Kadarius Toney, they probably would’ve won last week, and the narrative would be a whole lot different.

The biggest weakness for this Jaguars team is their defense, which wasn’t tested against a poor Colts offense last week. Now they’re hosting Mahomes.

NFL Pick and Prediction: Chiefs -2.5 (-118) placed earlier this week

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Buffalo Bills Odds

  • Spread
    Opening: Bills -9.5
    Current: Bills -8.5
  • Moneyline
    Opening: Raiders +330, Bills -425
    Current: Raiders +300, Bills -380
  • Total
    Opening: 48
    Current: 46.5

There’s no way Josh Allen will play as poorly as he did last week, right?

The betting lines are dropping in the Raiders’ direction after two polar opposite performances from these two teams last week. I would like to buy low on the Bills and sell high on the Raiders after Week 1, but the spread is sort of in a dead zone right now. I’m going to wait and see on this one.

NFL Pick and Prediction: Pass for now, will keep an eye on the best Bills line

San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams Odds

  • Spread
    Opening: 49ers -7
    Current: 49ers -7.5
  • Moneyline
    Opening: 49ers -320, Rams +260
    Current: 49ers -345, Rams +275
  • Total
    Opening: 43.5
    Current: 44.5

Both teams had very impressive wins last week, each winning by double digits on the road, with the Rams pulling off a big upset in Seattle.

nfl week 2 predictions

The 49ers might’ve looked like the best team in the NFL last week. Brock Purdy looked better than ever coming off his elbow injury, and their defense wreaked havoc on the Steelers.

Kyle Shanahan has owned Sean McVay in this rivalry. The 49ers under Shanahan are 10-3 ATS versus the Rams in the regular season, including 7-0 since 2020. L.A. might be better than we thought they were, but I think San Francisco’s performance last week was much more real in comparison.

NFL Pick and Prediction: Lean 49ers -7.5 (-112)

New York Giants vs. Arizona Cardinals Odds

  • Spread
    Opening: Giants -5
    Current: Giants -5.5
  • Moneyline
    Opening: Giants -210, Cardinals +176
    Current: Giants -218, Cardinals +180
  • Total
    Opening: 39.5
    Current: 40

Everything that could have gone wrong did go wrong for the Giants in their 40-0 loss to the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football. The Cardinals, on the other hand, kept things close against the Commanders. Are we ready to say they aren’t as bad as we expected them to be after one game? Definitely not.

The Giants couldn’t protect Daniel Jones against the Cowboys’ pass rush last week. This week, they go against perhaps the weakest pass rush in the NFL. I expect them to bounce back.

NFL Pick and Prediction: Lean Giants -5.5 (-110)

New York Jets vs. Dallas Cowboys Odds

  • Spread
    Opening: Cowboys -3
    Current: Cowboys -9
  • Moneyline
    Opening: Jets +130, Cowboys -154
    Current: Jets +310, Cowboys -395
  • Total
    Opening: 45.5
    Current: 39

We all know that these betting lines have moved because of Aaron Rodgers’ injury. I was debating taking Cowboys (-3) before Monday night because of the mismatch between Dallas’ pass rush against the Jets’ offensive line, but I didn’t take it. Oh well.

This is a matchup between perhaps the two best defenses in the NFL. I can’t see Zach Wilson having any success against the Cowboys’ defense, but are we sure Dak Prescott won’t have similar struggles against an equally impressive Jets defense?

I would take the under, but I’m worried about turnovers from both quarterbacks in this one, especially Wilson.

NFL Pick and Prediction: Pass for now

Washington Commanders vs. Denver Broncos Odds

  • Spread
    Opening: Broncos -3.5
    Current: Broncos -3.5
  • Moneyline
    Opening: Commanders +160, Broncos -190
    Current: Commanders +145, Broncos -175
  • Total
    Opening: 40
    Current: 38.5

Russell Wilson was cooking in the first half of last week, but then Denver’s offense stalled for the rest of the game, scoring just three points in the second half. Jimmy Garoppolo had a solid day against this defense, but now they go against the much-less experienced QB in Sam Howell.

In his second career start, Howell mostly struggled against a Cardinals defense that was expected to be the most QB-friendly unit in the NFL. This week in Denver, he has a much bigger challenge at hand.

NFL Pick and Prediction: Lean Broncos -3.5 (-105) 

Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots Odds

  • Spread
    Opening: Dolphins -2
    Current: Dolphins -2.5
  • Moneyline
    Opening: Dolphins -130, Patriots +110
    Current: Dolphins -142, Patriots +120
  • Total
    Opening: 45.5
    Current: 46.5

This line moved up half a point, and that’s not surprising to see after how well the Dolphins played last week. Still, the Patriots were far from unimpressive in their 25-20 loss against the Eagles.

It’s scary to fade this Dolphins offense, especially after the performances from Tua Tagovailoa and Tyreek Hill last week, but it’s time to zag. They will be going against a very impressive Patriots defense this week, and we’re getting a little value right now as the total has already moved up an entire point.

NFL Pick and Prediction: Lean Under 46.5 (-110)

New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers Odds

  • Spread
    Opening: Saints -2.5
    Current: Saints -3
  • Moneyline
    Opening: Saints -138, Panthers +118
    Current: Saints -166, Panthers +140
  • Total
    Opening: 41.5
    Current: 40.5

The spread going up a half-point is no surprise after watching these two teams play last week. Carolina’s offense struggled mightily against Atlanta, and they will be going against an even better New Orleans defense this week.

I missed the boat on getting the Saints at a key number at -2.5, but for the moment, I still like them on the spread in this spot, even on the road.

NFL Pick and Prediction: Lean Saints -3 (-115)

Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Odds

  • Spread
    Opening: Browns -1
    Current: Browns -2
  • Moneyline
    Opening: Browns -116, Steelers -102
    Current: Browns -125, Steelers +105
  • Total
    Opening: 42.5
    Current: 39.5

My strategy for Week 2 is typically to fade the overreactions from Week 1, so I initially liked the Steelers in a bounce-back spot here. However, the more I think about it, the less I like this matchup for them.

Pittsburgh’s offense struggled terribly against San Francisco and will be going against a Browns unit that was very impressive against the Bengals last week.

This spread has gone up a point as I’m sure money is flowing in on the Browns. And WR Diontae Johnson will be out, as he is expected to miss a few weeks due to a hamstring injury. I won on the Browns last week, and I’ll be running it back.

NFL Pick and Prediction: Browns -2 (-110)



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Dolphins’ Tyreek Hill Throws Shade at Cowboys’ Micah Parsons Online

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September 22, 2023

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Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill and Dallas Cowboys linebacker Micah Parsons are two of the most remarkable athletes in a league overrun with remarkable athletes.

Hill, nicknamed “Cheetah” for his blazing speed, torched defenders to the tune of 1,710 receiving yards a season ago. It was the fifth 1,000-yard season in Hill’s career, and it was also a career-high in his first season sans Patrick Mahomes since 2018.

Parsons, likewise, continued to torment opposing O-lines and signal-callers like few ever have. His uncanny burst for an off-ball linebacker has helped him to rack up an eye-popping 26.5 sacks in his first two pro seasons.

Hill and Parsons have chirped one another publicly in the past. While the barbs they’ve exchanged largely seem good-spirited in nature, the bravado and claims of superiority undoubtedly come with a kernel of belief and unwavering self-confidence behind them.

For instance, Parsons beat Hill at his own game last year … surprisingly besting the speedster in a footrace at the Pro Bowl’s skills competition. But Hill’s calling Parsons out once more, saying he wants to see the star pass rusher mano a mano in the trenches.

Tyreek Hill Calls Out Micah Parsons After Big Block: “Watch Your Back”

Hill began the year in rare form, even by his lofty standards. The seven-time Pro Bowler pulled in 11 catches for 215 yards and two scores in a narrow win over the Los Angeles Chargers. When asked about the performance Hill responded like only he can, as per NFL.com.

“I just feel like nobody can guard me. Maybe I’m not a cheetah. I’m a lion, baby.”

MORE: Best Wide Receivers in the NFL 2023

Parsons, notably an alum of the Penn State Nittany Lions, took exception to Hill’s proclamation and wasn’t remotely shy about making it known on his Bleacher Report podcast, “The Edge.”

“Tyreek, please never say you’re a lion again. Just stick to ‘the cheetah’, brother,” Parsons said. “You don’t want nothing to do with this lion work. Please stay away from the lion. At least you did say you a baby lion, but then you would be a cub, brother.”

Parsons concluded his thoughts on the matter by saying he expected a “stupid” response from Hill and that he was eagerly awaiting their respective teams’ Christmas day showdown.

Hill, notably, garnered some attention recently for a block he laid on a New England Patriots defensive lineman. Hill, who’s mostly revered for his pass-catching prowess, helped to seal the edge and spring running back Raheem Mostert for a big gain.

That element of Hill’s game isn’t exactly as renowned as his work catching touchdowns. But Hill’s evidently feeling himself after showing off his blocking chops. And, perhaps predictably by now, he didn’t pull any punches in his reply to Parsons.

“Micah Parsons, when we play you December 25th on Christmas day I have a present for you, my boy,” Hill retorted. “I know you’ve seen my little clip where I was blocking the ‘D-End’ I’m big like that, I’m off the edge like that. So you better watch your back.”

Now there’s a more fun, tongue-in-cheek nature to this rivalry than there was with, say, Richard Sherman and Michael Crabtree or Aqib Talib and Michael Crabtree. But that shouldn’t deter interest in the inevitable showdown between Parsons’ Cowboys and Hill’s Dolphins come Christmas.

Both teams are 2-0 and figure to be in the thick of the playoff race by late December. The battle for supremacy between Hill and Parsons is just a bonus for the football-loving public.





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When Does Flex Scheduling Start in the NFL?

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1 hour ago

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September 22, 2023

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There are always surprise teams that develop during the first half of the NFL season. Some teams are much better than expected, and then some teams don’t meet expectations.

The New York Jets have several prime-time games scheduled because Aaron Rodgers was expected to be the starting quarterback. If they end up with a bad record, the NFL flex scheduling policy is in place to allow the networks to change when games are played.

How Does Flex Scheduling Work for This Season?

For Sunday Night Football, games can be changed no more than two times between Weeks 5–10. For the rest of the season, Sunday night schedule changes will be at the NFL’s discretion. Starting in Week 5, the NFL will announce at least 12 days in advance the games that will be played on Sunday. For Weeks 13–17, the NFL will announce the Sunday night games no later than six days in advance.

Week 18’s schedule and times will be announced the week before. There will be two Saturday games ahead of 14 Sunday games.

What Are the Changes for the 2023 NFL Season?

There are two significant changes this season to flex scheduling. Games scheduled to be played on Amazon Prime on Thursday or ESPN/ABC on Mondays are now eligible to be flexed out and replaced with a new game. Amazon Prime will be allowed to change the Thursday night game twice starting in Week 13 this season.

MORE: NFL Standings

Changes to Thursday night games will be made no later than 28 days in advance. Monday night games can be moved at the league’s discretion beginning in Week 12 and will be announced at least 12 days ahead of time. A game will be played on Sunday if it is moved from a Thursday to Monday.

What Other Games Can Be Flexed?

Saturday is Week 15 will have flex scheduling. There were five matchups designated as possible flex games for that week when the original season’s schedule was released in the spring. Three of the games will be played on Saturday, with the other two played on Sunday.

There is some flexing done for afternoon games on Sundays when matchups are moved from the early 1 p.m. ET window to the 4:25 p.m. ET window. Games will remain on the original network for this type of flex.

When Did Flex Scheduling Begin?

The NFL started flex scheduling in 2006 to have the ability to switch games for Sunday Night Football. NBC was allowed to change away from the games that were originally scheduled. The flex schedule involved games between Week 10 and Week 15.

The Sunday afternoon rights holders, FOX and CBS, could each protect four games from being moved to NBC. The list of protected games was submitted after Week 4. NBC would then be able to select a game for Sunday night. Picks had to be made no later than 12 days before a game, and there were limits on how often a team could play in prime time during a season.

MORE: 2023 NFL Games Today/Schedule

The Sunday Night Football game in the final week was usually a game that had direct implications for a team making the playoffs. This strategy prevented a team playing Sunday night from making the playoffs or being eliminated by results earlier in the day.

There have been tweaks in policy over the years to how NBC can select Sunday night games and how CBS and FOX can protect games from being flexed.



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Kyle Shanahan’s Salary and Net Worth

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2 hours ago

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September 22, 2023

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Kyle Shanahan has developed quite a reputation around the NFL. Shanahan grew up in a football family, with his father Mike, traveling the college landscape as an assistant coach and offensive coordinator before settling down in Mile High as the Denver Broncos head coach.

Kyle Shanahan’s Career and Background

As many football families do, the Shanahan’s moved wherever their patriarch found a job, and for Mike, it ran the gambit from Arizona to Oklahoma to Illinois to Florida.

Shanahan’s life would be uprooted as they moved with their father, but Shanahan saw the trials and tribulations that come with a football career and followed the old man’s footsteps anyway.

Shanahan’s father was renowned as an offensive genius, able to construct an offense featuring a prolific running game and bootleg play-action passes.

Sound familiar? Shanahan took his father’s successful game plan and made it his own. Shanahan has been successful ever since he arrived in the NFL.

The younger Shanahan has become notorious for developing a run game that is virtually unstoppable while developing speedy running backs with a one-cut-and-go mentality.

Shanahan found running backs later in the NFL Draft, some undrafted rookie free agents, and made them into backs who contribute at the NFL level.

Shanahan’s system is breathtaking, but to win the big one, the San Francisco 49ers head coach, as well as the front office, recognize they need top-tier talent to defeat the Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts of the world.

The 49ers made the bold and controversial move to trade several draft picks for a running back, Christian McCaffrey, even when the league devalues the position.

The move has paid off so far, and McCaffrey is the linchpin for one of the most prolific offenses in the NFL. The rushing attack is one of the most daunting in the league, and defenses can’t stack the box due to the 49er’s weaponry on the outside.

MORE: PFN Life — Off-the-Field Content

Few teams can match the firepower the 49ers have every week, with Brandon Aiyuk stretching the field vertically, George Kittle causing defensive mismatches in the intermediate, and Deebo Samuel carving up would-be defenders like a Swiss Army knife.

The 49ers may be the best team in the NFL, and their head coach has an opportunity to get the monkey off his back and win an NFL title.

How Much Is Shanahan’s Salary and Net Worth?

Reportedly, Shanahan makes $10 million to coach the 49ers.





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