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Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections, and Rankings

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As we close in toward the new season, the ever-changing NFL landscape has player fantasy values constantly on the move, with key events like free agency and the 2023 NFL Draft still to come. Whether you’re used to the dynasty platform or are still learning the rules, let’s dive into the latest dynasty fantasy football value of TE Pat Freiermuth.

Pat Freiermuth’s Dynasty Outlook and Value

The tight end position in dynasty is abysmal. There are maybe six guys you feel great playing with, and the rest are just hopes and prayers. Although he doesn’t carry the enormous upside of guys like Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews, George Kittle, Dallas Goedert, or even what we saw from Evan Engram at the back end of 2022, Freiermuth has put together two very productive years in the NFL — something rare for a player who just transitioned to the big leagues.

Freiermuth finished as the TE7 in PPR formats (TE9 in PPG) with 63 receptions on 98 targets for 732 yards and two touchdowns. He was behind only Kelce (13) and T.J. Hockenson (10) and tied with Andrews (nine) for the most weeks inside the top 12 at his position.

Freiermuth was fourth amongst all tight ends in both target share (19.84%) and air-yard share (20.15%). Seeing him take the next step forward in his development was a welcome sight for sore eyes when we consider the entire position. However, it wasn’t all sunshine and rainbows for Freiermuth.

MORE: Dynasty Rankings 2023 — Top Fantasy Options at Tight End

Concussions have been one of this year’s key storylines, and it’s becoming an ugly trend for Freiermuth. Officially, his concussion in Week 5 against the Buffalo Bills was his third on record in the NFL and came in a span of just 20 career games.

However, there’s no way to tell how many someone’s had, and we’re starting to see a disturbing pattern for Freiermuth. Yet, is that something to sway potential fantasy managers away from one of the top young tight ends in the game? I doubt it.

Pat Freiermuth’s Dynasty Fantasy Ranking

Freiermuth is a clear TE1 and is my TE7 for dynasty. When it comes to Superflex formats, where QBs see an increase in value due to positional scarcity, Freiermuth is the No. 95 overall player.

He is one of the few tight ends that allows me to not worry about the position. The same can’t be said when we get to the TE10-13 range, where you could have significant inconsistencies. Just last season, the difference between the average score of the weekly TE1 and the TE12 was 17.57 points (PPR). That’s an entire RB1 or elite WR2 difference from one position.

While I do think players such as Darren Waller and even David Njoku will be productive, what about Dalton Schultz now in Houston? How about Cole Kmet facing more competition, including Robert Tonyan? Or even Greg Dulcich in Denver or Trey McBride and Chigoziem Okonkwo? Your guess is as good as mine, and that is not a gamble I want to take with my dynasty roster, especially one where I am competing.

I’m someone that will be paying up as I did last year at both quarterback and tight end. I’ll keep Freiermuth on the shortlist of options that I feel are ascending in value yet still bring a consistent weekly floor to my roster.



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Former Chicago Bears QB Jay Cutler Now a Bear Slayer

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The last time former Pro Bowl quarterback Jay Cutler played a down in the NFL was for the Miami Dolphins in 2017. Cutler spent most of his career in Chicago (2009-2016) and was drafted by the Denver Broncos in 2005.

Since retirement, Cutler nearly went into broadcasting, has done podcasting, starred in a reality show with his ex-wife Kristin Cavallari, has gone into business, and, most recently, took down a Bear.

Jay Cutler: From Former Bears QB to Bear Slayer

The former Bears quarterback has been hunting in Montana in the Big Sky Country. Cutler encountered a cinnamon black bear and shot it dead using his scoped bolt-action rifle.

Cutler wasted no time taking his accomplishment to Instagram, “MT bear hunt in the books. Heading home to get some summer ale.”

Of course, his comment section has been full of mixed feelings. While some joke, others aren’t too thrilled about him killing wildlife.

Some of the comments include:

“Jay Cutler killing Bears since 2009.”

“Jay continues to hurt Bear fans.”

“Killing the bears, just like the good old days.”

MORE: Antonio Brown Recruiting Cam Newton for Arena League Game

All jokes aside, however, in Montana, Bears are protected by law due to being endangered species unless an individual is in a position of self-defense. Any individual going against this law could face a $50,000 fine and loss of hunting license.

Cutler, of course, had his endangering moments during his time with the Bears, from throwing a league-leading 26 interceptions in 2009 to leading Chicago one game short of the Super Bowl to a load of injuries. Overall, Cutler has had an interesting history with bears.





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Projected Depth Chart, Rosters, and Predictions

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The Jacksonville Jaguars are coming off an inspiring finish to their 2022 season that led to an AFC Divisional Round loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. Head coach Doug Pederson helped the young Jaguars finish 9-8 and peak in the second half of the year. With more experience across the board, the Jaguars are looking to win the AFC South once again in 2023.

We have an all-encompassing Jaguars season preview now that most of the major offseason events are over. Below are the Jaguars’ projected depth chart, roster changes, and season predictions.

Everything You Need Ahead of the Jacksonville Jaguars 2023 NFL Season

The Jaguars spent nearly $260 million in the 2022 offseason, leaving the team financially strapped this year. More veteran players left than arrived, with right tackle Jawaan Taylor and pass rusher Arden Key headlining their departures. However, a strong draft class can help fill the void each left.

Jaguars Roster Changes

  • Players Acquired
    • RB D’Ernest Johnson
    • WR Calvin Ridley (coming off suspension)
  • Players Drafted
    • OT Anton Harrison
    • TE Brenton Strange
    • RB Tank Bigsby
    • LB Ventrell Miller
    • EDGE Tyler Lacy
    • EDGE Yasir Abdullah
    • CB Antonio Johnson
    • WR Parker Washington
    • CB Christian Braswell
    • S Erick Hallett II
    • OT Cooper Hodges
    • DT Raymond Vohasek
    • EDGE Derek Parish
  • Players Lost
    • RT Jawaan Taylor
    • CB Shaquill Griffin
    • WR Marvin Jones
    • EDGE Arden Key
    • TE Chris Manhertz

Jaguars Coaching Staff in 2023

  • Head coach: Doug Pederson
  • Offensive Coordinator: Press Taylor
    • QB coach: Mike McCoy
    • RB coach: Bernie Parmalee
    • OL coach: Phil Rauscher
    • WR coach: Chad Hall
    • TE coach: Richard Angulo
    • Assistant QB coach: Andrew Breiner
    • Assistant OL coach: Todd Washington
    • Assistant WR coach: Tyler Tettleton
    • Passing game coordinator: Nick Holz
    • Offensive quality control coach: Nick Williams
    • Offensive quality control coach: Greg Austin
  • Defensive Coordinator: Mike Caldwell
    • DL coach: Brentson Buckner
    • ILB coach: Tony Gilbert
    • OLB coach: Bill Shuey
    • CB coach: Deshea Townsend
    • Assistant DL coach: Rory Segrest
    • Senior Assistant: Bob Sutton
    • Safeties coach: Cody Grimm
    • Quality control: Patrick Reilly
    • Quality control: Sean Cullina
    • Quality control: Tee Mitchell
  • Special Teams Coordinator: Heath Farwell
    • Assistant special teams coach: Luke Thompson

Predicting the Jaguars Depth Chart

jacksonville jaguars

  • QB: Trevor Lawrence, C.J. Beathard, Nathan Rourke
  • FB: Derek Parish
  • RB: Travis Etienne, Tank Bigsby, D’Ernest Johnson, Snoop Conner
  • WR: Calvin Ridley, Christian Kirk, Zay Jones, Parker Washington, Jamal Agnew
  • TE: Evan Engram, Brenton Strange, Luke Farrell
  • LT: Anton Harrison, Cam Robinson (facing suspension)
  • LG: Ben Bartch, Cole Van Lanen
  • C: Luke Fortner, Tyler Shatley
  • RG: Brandon Scherff, Chandler Brewer
  • RT: Walker Little, Josh Wells, Cooper Hodges
  • DE: Roy Robertson-Harris, Tyler Lacy, Jeremiah Ledbetter
  • DT: Folorunso Fatukasi, DaVon Hamilton, Adam Gotsis, Michael Dogbe
  • EDGE: Josh Allen, Travon Walker, K’Lavon Chaisson, Yasir Abdullah
  • ILB: Foye Oluokun, Devin Lloyd, Chad Muma, Ventrell Miller
  • CB: Tyson Campbell, Darius Williams, Tre Herndon, Christian Braswell, Chris Claybrooks
  • S: Rayshawn Jenkins, Andre Cisco, Antonio Johnson, Andrew Wingard
  • K: Brandon McManus
  • P: Logan Cooke

2022 Results and Standings

The Jaguars experienced two different seasons in one year. Like most young teams that had to adjust to a new staff and an influx of talent, the Jaguars were disjointed throughout the first half of the season. Entering their Week 11 bye, Jacksonville sat 3-7 with six losses in their last seven games.

Both sides of the ball were struggling.

Second-year quarterback Trevor Lawrence produced a handful of excellent games but also duds against the Eagles, Texans, Giants, and Broncos. The offense found more success on the ground than as a passing team, which is a problem for a unit that had dedicated serious assets into the receiving corps and quarterback positions.

The defense allowed 390 or more yards in five games and embarrassingly allowed over 155 rushing yards three times. When the defense played well, the offense fell flat. The team simply couldn’t string performances together.

Things changed after the bye week. Jacksonville took advantage of a favorable schedule to win six of their final seven regular-season games, winning the division in Week 18 against the Titans.

The offense exploded to new heights thanks to a sudden leap from Lawrence, and the defense settled in over the final five weeks to become more respectable.

MORE: Where Does Jacksonville’s Offense Rank in 2023?

Several things became apparent. Lawrence became a franchise quarterback while running back Travis Etienne and wide receiver Christian Kirk proved to be quality long-term stars. The defensive additions of linebackers Foyesade Olukun and Devin Lloyd and cornerback Darius Williams helped transform the defense into a top-12 unit.

After a 31-30 AFC Wild Card Round win against the Chargers that featured a historic 27-point comeback and a competitive 27-20 loss to the Chiefs, the Jaguars are on the upswing entering 2023.

2023 Power Ranking and Season Outlook

PFN Analyst Dalton Miller has the Jaguars ranked ninth in his post-draft 2023 NFL Draft Power Rankings. The 2022 trade-deadline addition of wide receiver Calvin Ridley was a significant one, even if it was a long-term risk by the team. If Ridley can reproduce the effectiveness he had in 2020 when he totaled 1,374 yards and nine touchdowns with 15.3 yards per catch, the Jaguars’ offense will have a new ceiling.

It was important for the Jaguars to address their offense this offseason, even after finishing 10th in points last year.

Keeping tight end Evan Engram, even on the franchise tag as a “placeholder” for a long-term deal, and adding Ridley gives the Jaguars an important level of athletic advantage that will be key in the playoffs. Consider that Lawrence was able to get career seasons from Zay Jones and help Kirk produce at a different level, and it’s easy to be excited about how the unit will benefit from a true WR1.

If Ridley is able to take his crown as the top playmaker on the unit, Jacksonville doesn’t necessarily need Lawrence to elevate his surrounding cast quite as much or for Pederson to be such a timely play-caller in order for the unit to improve. Should Ridley prove rusty or not quite as explosive as he previously was, he’ll still be a quality fit into a timing-based offense that lacked another strong route runner in 2022.

The biggest question for the offense is how they’ll handle the offensive line. Losing Taylor and replacing him with Anton Harrison would be simple enough, but left tackle Cam Robinson is facing a multi-game suspension for violating the league’s performance-enhancing drug policy. Pederson said Harrison will be the team’s right tackle spot, and Walker Little will move to left tackle.

However, what happens when Robinson gets back will likely be based on how Little performs. Robinson’s contract makes it unlikely he’ll be back with the team in 2024, so this could be the team’s long-term plan at tackle.

MORE: Jacksonville Jaguars 2023 Schedule

The Jaguars have an average strength of schedule this year but the toughest in the AFC South. For as well as the team ranked in most metrics, the pressure to progress and improve is real. Pederson said, “We’re always trying to improve,” and admitted the team won’t bat an eye at adding a quality pass rusher if the opportunity presents itself.

With no individual rusher producing more than seven sacks last year and Key departing, 2022 No. 1 overall pick Travon Walker will have to improve. Josh Allen is in a contract year, and the Jaguars could be in a tough position if Walker doesn’t take a leap into being closer to a star performer. The team’s ceiling will be redefined once again if Walker and Allen can combine for 20 or more sacks, but if they’re again combining for 10.5, Jacksonville will be an early-round playoff exit again.





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Ranking Maason Smith, Jer’Zhan Newton, and Others

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Off of preliminary viewings, who are the top DT prospects in the 2024 NFL Draft class? The 2024 group doesn’t have a Jalen Carter — at least not yet. But there’s an abundance of depth and talent, and that talent yields a massive amount of potential energy as the season slowly approaches.

Ranking the Top DTs in the 2024 NFL Draft

Time will tell just how rewarding the returns are with the 2023 NFL Draft DT group, but on the surface, it’s an inspiring class. As long as he can stay on the right path, Jalen Carter is a blue-chip talent. Behind him, other prospects like Bryan Bresee, Calijah Kancey, Mazi Smith, Adetomiwa Adebawore, Keeanu Benton, and Zacch Pickens all have great upside.

The 2023 class was formidable. Carter, Bresee, Kancey, and Smith all earned Round 1 capital, and many others are in position to make a difference in the Day 2 and Day 3 ranges. As strong as the 2023 class was, however, the 2024 group has the potential to be even more substantial.

10) Paris Shand, LSU

The LSU Tigers have three defensive linemen on this list. It’s rare for a team to have that level of talent in a defensive line rotation, but LSU has it. How far the group ultimately rises may depend on its under-the-radar addition: Arizona transfer Paris Shand. Shand, who had 2.5 sacks and as many TFLs in 2022, has all the talent to break out if he can put it all together.

The prototype is there with Shand. He has a long 6’5″, 290-pound frame, and though he’s a bit lean, he can line up anywhere from 1-tech to 5-tech. He plays too upright at times, but when he’s on, Shand has one of the most explosive first steps in the class. He also has the flexibility to work around the apex after levying violent double swipes with his length.

9) Ty Hamilton, Ohio State

Although he only logged a half-sack in 2022, Ty Hamilton’s stats are misleading. He earned more opportunities as the 2022 season went on, and some of his best reps came in the team’s close playoff loss against the Georgia Bulldogs. Hamilton — the brother of Jaguars’ DL DaVon Hamilton — is just now coming into his prime, and he could be primed for a breakout.

MORE: FREE NFL Mock Draft Simulator With Trades

Now listed at 6’3″, 295 pounds, Hamilton carries his weight and volume with impressive ease. Like his brother before him, he has the strength and density to absorb blocks and hold the line in run defense, but he’s also a high-motor threat with imposing burst and power drive in the pass-rushing phase. The best is yet to come for the younger Hamilton.

8) Darius Robinson, Missouri

The Missouri defense lost Isaiah McGuire in the 2023 NFL Draft, but they return a treasure trove of talent at other spots. Kris Abrams-Draine and Ennis Rakestraw Jr. return at cornerback, while Ty’Ron Hopper stands tall at the linebacker spot. And on the interior defensive line, Darius Robinson maintains a presence with his natural tools.

At 6’5″, 290 pounds, with arms over 35″ long, Robinson is built to get inside his blockers’ frames and prevent displacement. As a run defender, he holds up well, but he also has the straight-line burst and power capacity to carry value as a pass rusher. With 3.5 sacks and 5.5 TFLs, 2022 was a career year for Robinson, but another leap could be in store in 2023.

7) Leonard Taylor, Miami (FL)

A former five-star recruit, Miami’s Leonard Taylor has done nothing but confirm his pedigree with his play in college football. Since breaking out as a true freshman in 2021, Taylor has five sacks and 19 tackles for loss to his name, along with an interception as a bonus. Alongside Akheem Mesidor and Branson Deen in 2023, he’s only due for more.

Taylor wears 305 pounds about as well as a player can. His athletic 6’3″ frame affords him a great deal of alignment versatility, which he uses to his advantage. Interestingly, several of his pressures come from angle confusion, athleticism, and pure effort. He’s still refining his hand usage arsenal, but once Taylor starts to string together moves with consistency, look out.

6) Mekhi Wingo, LSU

Transferring from Missouri to LSU in 2022, Mekhi Wingo broke new ground in the bayou. He amassed 47 tackles, six tackles for loss, three sacks, four pass deflections, two fumble recoveries, and a forced fumble in a career emergence. Wingo earned second-team All-SEC honors for his play, and in 2023, he’ll be a favorite on the draft circuit with his disruptive style.

MORE: Top 50 2024 NFL Draft Prospect Watchlist

We may come to have the same “outlier” conversation about Wingo that we had about Calijah Kancey. At 6’0″, 290 pounds, Wingo’s incredibly compact as a rusher. But with that compact size comes alignment versatility all the way out to 5-tech and beyond. For his size, he has surprising power capacity, and his legs churn like the Energizer Bunny after contact.

Lawrance Toafili (9) fights off a tackle from Florida State Seminoles defensive tackle Fabien Lovett (0).

5) Fabien Lovett, Florida State

Fabien Lovett accepted an invite to the Senior Bowl in the 2023 NFL Draft cycle before opting to return to school for another year. He was already fielding all-star interest, and that interest should remain in the 2024 cycle. An injury limited Lovett to seven games in 2022, but when he was on the field, his impact was very stark.

At 6’4″, 315 pounds, Lovett is one of the best run defenders in the upcoming DT class. He’s long and burly, makes contact quickly, and can stack and shed and one-gap effectively with his raw strength, anchor placement, and torque. There’s also reason to believe, with his length and first-step quickness, Lovett has untapped potential as a pass rusher.

4) Ruke Orhorhoro, Clemson

Ruke Orhorhoro had a strong case to declare after the 2022 campaign. But after accruing 6.5 sacks and 16 TFLs across 2021 and 2022, Orhorhoro instead chose to return to Clemson alongside Tyler Davis, enacting his fifth season of eligibility. Orhorhoro would’ve scored a Day 2 grade from me in 2023, and that’s where he starts in the 2024 NFL Draft cycle.

At around 6’4″, 303 pounds, Orhorhoro has enticing physical traits. He’s one of the most explosive athletes on this list, and he channels that burst with superb proportional length, culminating in elite raw power capacity. Orhorhoro came to America from Nigeria and didn’t start playing until his junior year of high school. But already, he’s extremely versatile, playing all across the front.

3) Michael Hall Jr., Ohio State

The Ohio State Buckeyes represent a football factory all across the board. And while the school hasn’t been quite as productive on the interior defensive line as it has been at positions like wide receiver and quarterback, there’s still high-quality talent to know at DT. The Buckeyes have two DTs on this list and another in the honorable mention category. The best is Michael Hall Jr.

Hall notched 4.5 sacks and 7.5 tackles for loss in a breakout 2022 campaign. He’s a bit undersized at 6’2″, 290 pounds, and maintaining his balance when working across-face can be an issue at times. But Hall has the bristling explosiveness, agility, and natural leverage to play between 3-tech and 5-tech. He uses those same traits to capitalize in one-on-one situations — with swims and rips — and stunts across the formation.

2) Jer’Zhan Newton, Illinois

The Illinois defense was a dominant unit in 2022, and that was reflected in the amount of 2023 NFL Draft talent they produced. Devon Witherspoon, Sydney Brown, and Jartavius Martin all loomed near the top of their positions, and had he declared, Jer’Zhan Newton would have been in a similar situation. Instead, he’s one of the top DTs in the 2024 NFL Draft.

MORE: 2024 NFL Draft Big Board

Newton is coming off a career-best campaign that saw him earn 61 tackles, 14 tackles for loss, 5.5 sacks, three pass deflections, and two fumble recoveries. At 6’2″, 280 pounds, he has the versatility to rush inside or use ankle flexion and active hands to work around the apex. Through it all, he’s strong and stout enough to disrupt in the run game as well. He and Hall are similarly sized, but Newton is the better player right now.

Who Is the Best DT in the 2024 NFL Draft?

If you need a disruptive defensive lineman, the 2024 NFL Draft class has what you need. But as many DTs as there are vying for top-10 spots, only one has the truly transcendent traits to submit an early case for the DT1 mantle. Others could challenge him, but no one can match the raw physical skill set possessed by LSU’s Maason Smith.

1) Maason Smith, LSU

This ranking is admittedly a large projection, especially after Maason Smith’s 2022 campaign. Smith broke onto the scene in violent fashion with a four-sack, five-TFL true freshman outing in 2021. But on the very first defensive drive of the 2022 season, Smith tore his ACL during a celebration.

Thus, Smith spent most of the 2022 season in recovery mode, and he’s still working his way back. But now nearing 100% again, the expectation is that Smith will be back to full strength for the 2023 campaign. And if he is, he has the upside to be the first DT selected in the 2024 NFL Draft.

In his standout true freshman campaign, Smith was able to accomplish things on tape that not all seniors can boast. At 6’5″, 300 pounds, with arms likely over 34″, Smith expectedly holds his own in run defense. But then you see him line up at 5-tech, explode off the line, and bend around the edge while unleashing cross-chops and swims, and you know you’re not dealing with a normal player.

The sheer degree of two-phase upside, alignment versatility, and raw upside that Smith provides doesn’t come around very often. It’s all contingent on him coming back at full health, but if he does, Smith is one of the few DTs in the 2024 NFL Draft who has the talent to reach the blue-chip range.

Honorable Mentions

  • Braden Fiske, Florida State
  • Shemar Turner, Texas A&M
  • Tyler Davis, Clemson
  • Keith Randolph Jr., Illinois
  • Tyleik Williams, Ohio State
  • Kyon Barrs, USC
  • Akheem Mesidor, Miami (FL)
  • Branson Deen, Miami (FL)
  • Mosiah Nasili-Kite, Auburn
  • Nazir Stackhouse, Georgia



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