NFL
Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections, and Rankings

As we inch toward the new season, the ever-changing NFL landscape has player fantasy values constantly on the move. Whether you’re used to the dynasty platform or are still learning the dynasty rules, let’s dive into the latest dynasty fantasy football value of Deon Jackson.
Deon Jackson’s Dynasty Outlook and Value
My initial thought was to completely dismiss the notion of Deon Jackson ever mattering. The problem with that outlook is he did matter…a lot. Granted, it was a very short period of time, but during that time, Jackson was a must-start RB2.
In 2021, Jackson signed as a UDFA and exclusively played special teams as a rookie. Even earning a role on an NFL roster is a major accomplishment for a UDFA.
As a sophomore, his role was exactly the same. Jackson was technically the Indianapolis Colts‘ RB3 behind Jonathan Taylor and Nyheim Hines, but he only played special teams.
MORE: Dynasty Rankings 2023 — Top Fantasy Options at Running Back
Then, in Week 5, a very specific series of events forced Jackson into a featured role. Taylor was out with an ankle injury, and Hines was concussed on his first touch of the game. The Colts were down to two UDFAs, Jackson and Phillip Lindsay.
Jackson ran well, carrying the ball 13 times for 62 yards. He also caught all four of his targets for 29 yards. When Taylor and Hines were unable to return the following week, Jackson operated as the Colts’ RB1. In fact, he finished as the overall RB1 that week, scoring 28.1 fantasy points.
Indianapolis traded away Hines at the trade deadline, and Taylor never really got right after aggravating his ankle injury in Week 13 (and again in Week 15). But Jeff Saturday was more inclined to push the newly acquired Zack Moss as the team’s lead back ahead of Jackson.
Deon Jackson’s Fantasy Ranking
The thing with Jackson is we have no idea what the new coaching staff will do at running back behind Taylor. Fantasy managers should have no aspirations of Jackson potentially becoming the lead back if Taylor leaves in 2024. That’s not going to happen. But if Jackson is able to win the RB2 role, at the very least, he’ll have RB handcuff value. It would be enough to justify rostering him in deeper dynasty leagues.
Ultimately, Jackson is not a must-roster RB right now. There are likely several options available with more plausible upside. With that said, I’m not ready to completely write off a 24-year-old RB who has proven capable of producing at the NFL level when given volume. Still, I’m not exactly looking to select Jackson in dynasty startup drafts. He’s currently our RB81 (No. 240 overall) in our dynasty Superflex rankings.
NFL
Isaiah Hodgins Player Props, Betting Lines, Odds, and Picks for Giants vs. 49ers

Much like almost every New York Giants wide receiver to start the 2023 regular season, Isaiah Hodgins is off to a slow start statistically. Through the first two weeks, he has just five catches for 64 yards and one touchdown.
In a game in which the Giants are double-digit underdogs, let’s take a look at Hodgins’ player props for this evening.
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Isaiah Hodgins Week 3 Player Props
All odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Receiving Yards: 31.5 (Over -105/Under -120)
- Receptions: 2.5 (Over -150/Under +120)
- Longest Reception: 16.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +450
- First Touchdown Scorer: +2800
Hodgins Betting Trends and Stats
Hodgins has scored a touchdown in three of his last four regular-season games dating back to last season.
Hodgins Best Bet
At 6’4″, 210 pounds, Hodgins’ biggest strength as a wide receiver is scoring touchdowns. On just 56 career targets, he has five scoring receptions, a TD rate of nearly 9%.
With none of his other player props standing out to me tonight, let’s take a flier on him to score a touchdown.
MORE: NFL Survivor Picks Week 3
If you want to get aggressive, you can sprinkle a small amount of money on Hodgins to be the first touchdown scorer, but that would largely hinge on the Giants getting the ball first and scoring on their opening drive.
I wouldn’t recommend putting a full unit on this, but if you’re looking for a relatively longshot bet for tonight’s game, at +450 odds, it’s a worthwhile swing on a player who is efficient at scoring touchdowns in his limited role.
Hodgins Best Bet: anytime touchdown scorer (+450)
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NFL
How Micah Parsons Has Embraced the Lion Mindset To Prowl on Opposing Offenses

Dallas Cowboys edge rusher Micah Parsons is known as the lion on defense, prowling from sideline to sideline mixed in with pressuring the opposing quarterback. That lion mentality has helped Parsons become a better leader on defense and for the entire team.
“Lions have to work as a team to get what they need, and so they can feed their families. I said, ‘If you look at this, this is what we are, bro, like we out here trying to hunt this guy, and we’re trying to kill these people so we can feed our families like that’s our why.
Feed our families like that’s our why. I said no matter if it’s nature or in life everyone has a why and like every week we get a chance to go out there and fight for ours,’” said Parsons.
Parsons embraced the “lion” nickname in his rookie season but had now adapted to the “lion mindset” to bring the best out of the teammates around him. On and off the field, he connects a lion’s precision and methodical ways to his life and uses those lessons to teach the team around him.
The Dallas Cowboys’ Defensive Zoo of Chaos
Parsons knows the largest feline works together with its pride, just like he does with the zoo of playmakers he has around him. He’s even gone so far as to call DE Dante Fowler the team’s jaguar and NT Mazi Smith the orca.
Along with that, he credits ten-year veteran DeMarcus Lawrence for helping him adapt and grow within the run defense while also helping him bring out a certain intensity, describing Lawrence as someone who is “a big one about the mindset of how we’re going to hunt and how we’re going to dominate.”
— Micah Parsons (@MicahhParsons11) September 19, 2023
He also gave DT Osa Odighizuwa credit for showing that he can be a premiere defensive tackle.
“Once you start incorporating his power and showing people then bringing out his finesse, he’s been creating a lot of success. So I think he can be an eight to ten sack guy,” said Parsons.
Keeping Parsons’ Lion Pack in Check
Being a leader on a defense full of playmakers isn’t easy, especially when success has come early for the Cowboys’ defense. But Parsons makes an effort daily to keep those around him from not being satisfied with their current success, reminding them that there is always more out there and to stay grounded.
“We’re 2-0 because of execution and how we prepared. That’s why we’re touring now. We’re not 2-0 because anything else, so just remember what’s our process, where we at in our process, where we want to be at going into the game on Sunday.
When you have that confidence, confidence, and preparation meets the game, you see the results,” said Parsons.
Those results have certainly come on the field for Parsons and the Cowboys’ defense. Through two games, Parsons has 7 tackles and 3 sacks. The Cowboys defense as a whole has given up an average of 5 points per game, the best in the league. The next closest team? The Cleveland Browns, who are giving up an average of 14.5 points per game.
Parsons is taking his role seriously and has even transferred that lion mentality to the field. He said that’s how his new lion crawl after sacking a quarterback came to be in the first place after he was joking around with Dak Prescott and came up with it.
Just ridiculous, @MicahhParsons11 🦁
📺: #NYJvsDAL on CBS⁰📱: Stream on #NFLPlus https://t.co/FhXtx7w3wW pic.twitter.com/uZrWxO8lhX
— NFL (@NFL) September 17, 2023
With the Cowboys set to take on the Arizona Cardinals in Week 3 and the New England Patriots in Week 4 before gearing up for several tough conference opponents, Parsons will be looking to hone that lion mentality and keep his defense hungry for more success.
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NFL
Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, Darren Waller, and Others

Tonight, we have a Thursday Night Football matchup between two NFC playoff teams from one year ago — the New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers.
The star power is on the 49ers’ side, with Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, Deebo Samuel, and Brandon Aiyuk. For this Thursday Night Football matchup, how should we be approaching Giants vs. 49ers player prop bets? We break those down for tonight and give you our favorite plays.
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Top Giants vs. 49ers Player Prop Bets to Target
Our team of betting experts give out their favorite player prop bets for Giants vs. 49ers on Thursday Night Football.
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook unless noted otherwise.
Daniel Jones Player Props
- Passing Yards: 214.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Pass Touchdowns: 1.5 (Over +175/Under -230)
- Pass Completions: 19.5 (Over -130/Under +100)
- Pass Attempts: 32.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
Daniel Jones’ first two games couldn’t have been more different. He threw for 104 scoreless yards against the Dallas Cowboys and 321 yards with two touchdowns against the Arizona Cardinals. That makes figuring out his props quite a challenge.
The 49ers defense is definitely closer to the Cowboys than the Cardinals. I certainly wouldn’t take any Jones overs, but Matthew Stafford was able to throw for 307 yards against this defense. I worry that if we take any of his unders, he could garbage-time his way into hitting. As a result, I am passing.
Matt Breida Player Props
- Rushing Yards: 32.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receiving Yards: 12.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Receptions: 2.5 (Over +135/Under -175)
- Longest Rush: 10.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +240
- First Touchdown Scorer: +1600
Matt Breida has exactly one game in a feature role since 2018. It was Week 18 of last season with the Giants resting starters … he saw four carries.
MORE: NFL Week 3 Odds and Betting Trends Against the Spread for Every Game
Breida will be the lead back, but this is an awful matchup. I’m expecting a bit of a timeshare with Gary Brightwell and possibly Eric Gray, too. Plus, even if I’m wrong, I can certainly envision Breida taking 10-12 carries and going nowhere with them.
Pick: Matt Breida under 32.5 rushing yards (-115)
Darren Waller Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 46.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receptions: 4.5 (Over +124/Under -160)
- Longest Reception: 19.5 (Over -105/Under -125)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +265
- First Touchdown Scorer: +2000
I am very nervous about Darren Waller and his hamstring playing on a short week. While it’s only been two weeks, just 6.3% of the receiving yards allowed by the 49ers have gone to tight ends.
With that said, Waller isn’t your typical tight end — he’s the Giants de facto WR1. This is another tricky situation where it’s under or bust. Given the performance of tight ends against the 49ers, I’m OK giving out a lean here.
Lean: Darren Waller longest reception under 19.5 (-125)
Brock Purdy Player Props
- Passing Yards: 230.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Pass Touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
- Pass Completions: 20.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
- Pass Attempts: 28.5 (Over -125/Under -105)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over +190/Under -250)
Brock Purdy’s multi-touchdown streak came to an end last week when the Los Angeles Rams held him scoreless through the air. I do think he will bounce back this week. The 49ers will likely score at least four touchdowns.
There’s always a risk Christian McCaffrey runs in three of them, but the Giants defense has looked like one of the worst in the league, getting smoked by Joshua Dobbs and the Cardinals last week.
Lean: Brock Purdy over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-120)
Christian McCaffrey Player Props
- Rushing Yards: 79.5 (Over -130/Under +100)
- Receiving Yards: 29.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receptions: 3.5 (Over -175/Under +135)
- Longest Rush: 17.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: -200
- First Touchdown Scorer: +320
It appears the 49ers did not care that they had a Thursday game coming up, as they played McCaffrey on 100% of the snaps last week. Head coach Kyle Shanahan might not have realized it at the time, but after the game, he insinuated that McCaffrey is probably out there too much.

On a short week, I’m expecting McCaffrey’s snap share to drop into the 70-80% range. He will still dominate, but Elijah Mitchell should not only see the field but see some actual carries.
The 49ers could completely dominate this game, leading to a ton of running opportunities. As a result, I am not confident enough to make this an official pick. But I do have a lean.
Lean: Christian McCaffrey under 17.5 rush attempts (-115 BetMGM)
Deebo Samuel Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 53.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receptions: 4.5 (Over -125/Under -105)
- Longest Reception: 21.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +120
- First Touchdown Scorer: +650
2021 Samuel made an appearance last week. His receiving role did not change from Week 1, but he carried the ball five times for a very efficient 38 yards and a touchdown.
MORE: NFL Survivor Picks Week 3
It’s going to be very hit or miss for Samuel on a weekly basis in terms of his usage. However, with Brandon Aiyuk banged up, his role could be more stable this week.
Given that Shanahan wants to lighten McCaffrey’s load a bit, perhaps we see more of Samuel out of the backfield. Either way, I think he has a big game.
Lean: Deebo Samuel over 15.5 rushing yards (-110)
George Kittle Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 43.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
- Receptions: 3.5 (Over -150/Under +120)
- Longest Reception: 10.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +175
- First Touchdown Scorer: +900
Kittle is probably the best tight end in football. Unfortunately, we can’t win any bets based on his blocking prowess. From a receiving standpoint, while clearly super talented, he’s just a guy out there. The 49ers make no deliberate effort to get him the ball.
Kittle saw just three targets last week. That was after seeing six in the opener. He has six catches for 49 yards on the season.
There will inevitably be a couple of games where Kittle absolutely smashes. In those games, he will put up something like five catches for 90 yards and two touchdowns.
Since we have no idea when those games are, rather than try and guess on a standard prop bet, let’s take a shot on long odds.
Longshot Play: George Kittle first touchdown (+1100 BetMGM)
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Listen to the PFN Betting Podcast! Click the embedded player below to listen, or you can find the PFN Betting Podcast on iTunes, Spotify, and all major podcast platforms. Be sure to subscribe and leave us a five-star review!
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