Connect with us

NFL

Trade for D’Andre Swift, Trade Away Josh Allen

Published

on


Hopefully, your NFL fantasy football season is going as smoothly as you had imagined after drafting your roster. We have your back with wall-to-wall coverage as it’s time to start turning an eye toward the playoff race. That includes the Week 12 fantasy football trade analyzer, where we break down key players to trade for and away.

Week 12 Trade Analyzer | Players To Trade For

The arrival of Week 12 means there’s no time left to waste. There are players with a value that is too low for their opportunity — it would help if you tried to swoop in and add these two players at a reasonable cost.

D’Andre Swift, RB, Detroit Lions

Looking at D’Andre Swift’s production when compared to backup Jamaal Williams, most would wonder why Swift would be considered. He has no more than seven carries in his six games since Week 1 and hasn’t eclipsed 20 yards rushing since Week 3. Williams is also leading the NFL in rushing scores despite being in a red-zone role.

Add in the fact Detroit plays one of the staunchest run defenses in the league in Buffalo this week and Swift is an unconventional trade-for candidate. But that’s why I’m on the hunt to acquire Swift from frustrated fantasy managers who will give away a talented player.

Swift has only 273 rushing yards on the season but scored two touchdowns over the last two weeks and has been a factor as a receiver all season. There’s a lot of reason for the current managers of Swift to be done with his experience, but I want him on my roster for the playoffs.

MORE: Buy Low, Sell High Week 12

Detroit’s schedule does get friendlier in the coming weeks, with Jacksonville, Carolina, Chicago, and the New York Jets offering favorable matchups. We’d have Swift right in time for excellent opportunities.

You can take Swift’s lower for props in his difficult matchup in Week 12 over on Underdog Fantasy, where you can include him on a Pick’em entry this week.

Ranked as RB32 on the season due to a slow start, Swift is a great value compared to what he cost in the draft season. I wish he had a higher touch rate, but his scoring increase means he’s making up for some of those limitations.

Cordarrelle Patterson, RB, Atlanta Falcons

How often can you trade for a future Hall of Fame player without giving up the farm to do it?

Okay, so Cordarrelle Patterson is a Hall of Fame return man and only a solid running back. But the RB33 on the season looks like a potential steal as an addition to your roster.

Since coming back from his stint on injured reserve, Patterson’s totaled only 15 carries for 70 yards and three receptions for nine yards. You might be wondering why we’d trade for Patterson considering those numbers.

While his 103-yard kick-return touchdown was a nice boost for his scoring, Atlanta hasn’t given the full load of work to Patterson yet. If he continues to get stronger over the coming games, he might prove to be a must-start each week by the time December begins.

Atlanta has to play Washington this week, but after the Commanders’ elite run defense, they’re onto much easier opponents. Patterson can be a monstrous performer if he’s given the lion’s share of touches in Atlanta’s excellent running game.

It’s worth making the pre-emptive move on him to ensure your roster has a potential star in the backfield for the playoffs.

Week 12 Trade Analyzer | Players To Trade Away

It’s also time to cash in on some players who exploded in the first eight weeks but are unlikely to continue at that rate. That doesn’t mean these two players are bad or not worth having on your roster, but it’s worth exploring their trade value to see if you can land someone in a better situation to succeed through the rest of 2022.

Najee Harris, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers

While I opined you should look to trade Harris much earlier this season, if you missed his peak window, you’ve just received a second chance. With 20 carries and 90 or more yards in each of his last two games — plus his first two touchdowns since Week 3 — Harris is now a usable fantasy player. His success could continue against Indianapolis and Atlanta in the next two weeks.

Despite some reason for optimism, I don’t fully buy into this resurgence from the Steelers’ efforts. Harris is still a volume-dependent player who hasn’t averaged more than 4.95 yards per carry in any single game this season. It’s more likely his value is based on his ability to reach the end zone.

MORE: Week 12 Waiver Wire Pickups

I’d rather try to turn Harris into either a more consistent or explosive piece that I can count on in the playoffs. Even players like Antonio Gibson or Devin Singletary have more upside on a weekly basis because they play in healthier offenses that can sustain their production. You might even get lucky with someone really valuing Harris in a redraft league with keepers and be able to pry someone like Travis Etienne Jr.

Thankfully, you won’t have to simply give Harris away thanks to his surge, but I also wouldn’t count on him being in your lineup again after the next two weeks. That means he doesn’t have enough value for you to hold onto when it matters most.

Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills

While the Bills earned a tough victory in Week 11, ending their two-game skid, Josh Allen is clearly in a regression season. I was concerned this would happen for Allen while discussing preseason MVP odds, as he lost Brian Daboll as offensive coordinator and had seen a decrease in efficiency across several notable statistical categories, even in 2021.

People fell in love with Allen in his historical playoff run but forgot that he struggled in the regular season. Now, factor in his UCL injury, and Allen looks broken. His accuracy on short throws was off throughout Week 11 against the Browns. He’s second in the NFL in interceptions this season and leads the NFL over the last two years.

Allen is still a tremendously explosive talent, but the consistency hasn’t been there. He’s taking on too much responsibility despite being surrounded by quality playmakers. His last four games have been underwhelming, and he hasn’t looked the same.

Fantasy managers have to get off Allen if they still have him. Upcoming games against New England, the Jets, Miami, and Cincinnati aren’t favorable. You may be able to score someone like Justin Fields or Jalen Hurts because Allen is still ranked as QB2 in fantasy leagues.

But he’s fading fast. Give me someone trending upward instead.





Source link

NFL

Xavier Hutchinson, WR, Iowa State

Published

on

By


Iowa State WR Xavier Hutchinson, despite his production and his scouting report, remains one of the more underrated receivers in the 2023 NFL Draft. It’s a deep class that can work to Hutchinson’s detriment. But looking at the tape, he has the tools to secure a role early in the NFL.

Xavier Hutchinson NFL Draft Profile

  • Position: Wide Receiver
  • School: Iowa State
  • Current Year: Redshirt Senior
  • Height/Weight: 6’3″, 205 pounds

Quietly, Xavier Hutchinson has been one of the most productive receivers in college football since 2020. He has almost 3,000 receiving yards over that span and has been a target funnel for an Iowa State passing attack that’s relied almost entirely on his presence.

Seeing his production, you’d almost be surprised that Hutchinson wasn’t a highly-coveted recruit out of high school. As a matter of fact, Hutchinson had to take the JUCO route to the FBS level.

Two years at Blinn JC helped get Hutchinson onto the map. After a sophomore season that saw him catch 47 passes for 652 yards and five touchdowns, he started to field offers from Power Five teams as a JUCO transfer. Oklahoma, Utah, TCU, and Nebraska all offered Hutchinson, but he chose to stay in Iowa and signed with the Cyclones.

Since then, Hutchinson has known nothing but production. He caught 64 passes for 771 yards and four scores in 2020. 83 catches for 987 yards and five scores in 2021. And in 2022, he’s amassed career-highs in all categories, with 105 catches for 1,160 yards and six touchdowns.

A 2022 Biletnikoff semifinalist with massive numbers to his name, it’s a foregone conclusion that Hutchinson will see the field on Sundays. But how does he project, and where might he come off the board in April?

Xavier Hutchinson Scouting Report

Production, size, experience — Hutchinson passes a lot of the surface-level eye tests. But does his profile hold up when we put it under the microscope? Let’s dive in.

Hutchinson’s Positives

Whether you use film or analytics as your primary mode of evaluation, you’ll find that Hutchinson checks a lot of boxes. We’ve already noted his production, and as one might expect, he’s a very well-rounded receiver on the field.

First and foremost, Hutchinson brings solid size and athletic ability. He’s a well-built receiver with great height and weight and has great accelerative capacity off the line.

He can gear up quickly with urgent steps and shows off good burst upfield when attacking space or surging inside on mesh and drag routes. And while he’s not a burner downfield, he does have enough speed to stack DBs with long-strider acceleration.

Expanding on Hutchinson’s athletic skill set, the Iowa State WR possesses good lateral twitch and loose hips in space. He’s shown he can sink to a degree and levy quick cuts to create space and disrupt tackling angles. He’s also able to press upfield at sharp angles out of cuts after starting horizontally.

To a degree, Hutchinson’s athleticism translates to good natural route running potential. He flashes smooth lateral athleticism at stems and can square up defenders with split releases, then roll his hips and stack upfield.

The Cyclones star has the loose hips and lateral agility to cut stems quickly and attack sharp angles, and he can also press upfield, tempo his advance into stems, and explode laterally on out routes.

Overall, Hutchinson has above-average timing and zone awareness as a route runner. He can sneak into blind spots and attack open windows. Additionally, he’s shown he can manipulate DBs with lateral twitch and stride variations on double-moves.

Plus, he can use a dead-leg move to freeze DBs at the stem. In a similar vein, Hutchinson can manipulate DBs with initial attack angles before displacing laterally and exploding upfield.

Hutchinson’s lateral agility, for his size, allows him to gain separation with relative ease, as well as line up in the slot or on the boundary. But what truly accentuates his profile as one with early-round upside is his elite catching instincts. Hutchinson is extremely natural at the catch point and impressively consistent across different situations.

MORE: 2023 NFL Draft Big Board

Hutchinson can naturally corral short passes over the middle of the field in-stride, cradling with his hands. He’s also shown he can elevate and extend beyond his frame to bring in high passes, and he actively clamps down with his hands to secure throws.

The Iowa State WR has excellent ball-tracking ability downfield as well. He can roam under passes and guide with his hands while extending beyond his frame, and he very naturally adjusts to passes high or behind him with smooth body control.

Hutchinson can make high-difficulty adjustments with little response time as a catcher. He flashes especially absurd focus and coordination on deflected passes, as he can instantly recalibrate and reposition himself.

Hutchinson’s hands also enable him to convert in these situations. His hand/eye coordination is exceptional in high-difficulty situations, and he consistently uses diamond technique to get his hands in the right spot.

Hutchinson’s proven he can secure passes with his hands while diving or making catches from other points of imbalance. In these instances, he showcases exceptional hand strength when working amidst contact and can maintain possession through the catch process.

His hands are authoritative in 50-50 situations, and he seeks out the ball with zeal. But he also makes an effort to keep the ball away from his frame, minimizing body-catching before securing and protecting the ball with his frame.

With his size, Hutchinson has proven he can get an edge on defenders with targeted physicality, play strength, and frame usage. Over the middle of the field, he’s able to secure passes amidst contact. But he can also use proactive, targeted physicality to pry past defenders at stems.

He’ll utilize double swipes to compound separation before breaking inside, and he can sync his swipes with lateral moves to maximize space.

This physicality and play strength shows up after the catch as well. While Hutchinson doesn’t often bounce off first contact, he can fight and step through arm tackles and recollect his feet to carry acceleration forward. Moreover, he can reset his feet quickly after catches to align himself for contact, and he has the size and leg drive to churn through solo tackles for decent yardage.

Lastly, Hutchinson is, at the very least, a willing blocker who can square up defenders and use his frame to box out opponents on running plays.

Hutchinson’s Areas for Improvement

While Hutchinson is a solid overall athlete for his size, he might not be elite in any one physical area.

Hutchinson doesn’t have elite explosiveness upfield or out of breaks, and he lacks elite deep speed, showing a visible cap in downfield range. Moreover, Hutchinson lacks the elite agility, foot speed, and twitch to immediately sink, decelerate, and evade tackles after securing throws in stride. When aiding direction changes, he can’t always uncoil quickly after gaining momentum.

Hutchinson’s non-elite athletic traits don’t tank his upside in the NFL, but they do necessitate further growth as a route runner because the margin for error may be a bit smaller for him.

At times, Hutchinson can be more disciplined pressing upfield ahead of stems on quick hitches and comebacks. He sometimes drifts back a bit after breaking, and he’ll also rotate around on quick breaks, failing to freeze DBs.

MORE: PFN Mock Draft Simulator

Overall, Hutchinson is a bit tall and upright as a route runner and lacks elite hip sink. Naturally, he can be a bit sharper and more efficient with transitions at times. He occasionally unhinges his hips too early at stems, keying in DBs on breaks. On a related note, he can be more consistent squaring up at stems to hold DBs, and he sometimes drifts a bit on vertical paths.

Hutchinson can seek more efficiency with his usage of physicality as well. Although he’s fairly proficient at using targeted physicality, he occasionally gets too grabby in contact situations, risking offensive pass interference.

Among other things, Hutchinson doesn’t have the elite hand strength to consistently convert on acrobatic one-handed opportunities, and he sometimes lets the ball bounce free at contact with the ground.

While he has decent length, his proportional length is middling and slightly limits his catch radius. And as a blocker, he sometimes only seeks to obstruct and doesn’t sustain blocks or engage with hands.

Current Draft Projection for Iowa State WR Xavier Hutchinson

Hutchinson grades as a solid Day 2 prospect at the wide receiver position. Within that range, there may be some variance based on team preferences and individual evaluations. But Hutchinson is undoubtedly deserving of consideration in the top 100, and a strong offseason — with Senior Bowl and NFL Combine showings on deck — could move him up.

Hutchinson has good size, decent length, and a solid overall athletic skill set. Although he plays a bit tall at times as a route runner, he has the necessary lateral agility, twitch, hip fluidity, and burst to create separation. He has enough juice as a long-strider to stack DBs. And few WRs in the 2023 NFL Draft are better than Hutchinson at the catch point.

Since he’s not a quantifiably elite athlete, Hutchinson should work to keep refining his route running efficiency at the next level. There’s still some wasted motion at times, and he can work to expand his route tree and release package a bit more.

But there’s enough there already — he has enough foot speed and sink to work with. And Hutchinson can also be a RAC threat in space with his play strength, leg churn, and lateral agility.

As a movement Z who can man both the slot and the boundary, Hutchinson presents a lot of projected appeal. He can win in one-on-one situations or use space to his advantage. On Day 1, he can be a valuable addition to a WR rotation, and he has enough physical upside to develop into an above-average NFL starter with safety blanket value.



Source link

Continue Reading

NFL

Reese’s Senior Bowl Invites 2023

Published

on

By



Stay up to date with the entire list of athletes that have accepted their 2023 Reese’s Senior Bowl invites and their lead-up to the 2023 NFL Draft.



Source link

Continue Reading

NFL

Is It Time for Fantasy Managers To Trust Hollins?

Published

on

By


The quickest way to fall behind in a fantasy football league is to become complacent and rely on the team you drafted, neglecting the all-important waiver wire. As managers make numerous waiver claims for Week 13 hoping to strengthen their roster, should Las Vegas Raiders wide receiver Mack Hollins be a priority addition off the waiver wire vs. the Chargers?

Mack Hollins Has Another Solid Performance Against the Seahawks

Like many, the 2022 season has been a bit of a roller coaster for Las Vegas Raiders wide receiver Mack Hollins. However, the 6’4″ fifth-year receiver has quietly put together a sneaky good résumé that fantasy football managers need to pay attention to while submitting waiver wire claims for Week 13.

Playing on 96% of the Raiders’ snaps on Sunday, Hollins has a 100% route participation and sat second behind only Davante Adams amongst wide receivers in targets with five. While low in volume, he made them count. Hollins hauled in four of those passes for 63 yards and scored his third touchdown of the season to finish with just over 16 PPR points as the WR20 on the week. It’s the second game in a row as a top-36 receiver and his fourth since their Week 6 bye.

MORE: Top Week 13 Waiver Wire Targets

Do you think Hollins can ride the momentum? Well, over on Underdog Fantasy, you can take the higher or lower on Hollins’ projections as part of their Pick’em contest and win up to 20x in the process. Sign up at Underdog Fantasy today for a 100% deposit bonus of up to $100.

But things get interesting when you look at the breakdown for Hollins when acting as the Raiders’ No. 2 option. In the five games without wide receiver Hunter Renfrow this year, Hollins has averaged 7.2 targets, 4.6 receptions, and 64.8 receiving yards. That’s double-digit fantasy points before we even factor in any touchdowns.

Sunday marked Hollins’ third game with 50+ yards in his last five weeks, and his 531 yards on the season now have him tied for 36th at the position. With likely one more week without Renfrow and Darren Waller in the lineup, is Hollins a clear-cut waiver wire target or a roster clogger?

Should Mack Hollins Be a Top Waiver Wire Priority for Fantasy Managers in Week 13?

Like the on-field performances, the waiver wire each week can be up and down. Some weeks there are tons of talent, and others, there’s only a little out there. But if you need a receiver, Week 13 could treat you well.

I would undoubtedly have Hollins on this list. There is enough of a pattern in his performances as the No. 2 to warrant a certain level of security as a flex option. Although it is not the easiest of matchups, the Los Angeles Chargers are 15th in DVOA, 25th in EPA/dropback, 19th in success rate per dropback, and 28th in points allowed on the season (27.51) but 20th over the last four games (24.55).

With that said, the Chargers are No. 3 in DVOA vs. No. 2 wide receivers thanks to Asante Samuel Jr. and Brian Callahan stepping up after losing prized free agent acquisition J.C. Jackson.

As a depth option, Hollins makes sense off the waiver wire and likely won’t get you into a bidding war, as he is rostered in just 12.5% of leagues and could go a bit under the radar. Having said that, he is not the top player I would look to target.

MORE: Early Week 13 Fantasy Start/Sit Recommendations

At RB, Kyren Williams, Gus Edwards, Isiah Pacheco, Zonovan Knight, and JaMycal Hasty need to be rostered. Additionally, Benny Snell Jr. and Darrell Henderson are in the mix, too. At receiver, there is even more with Treylon Burks, Donovan Peoples-Jones, Zay Jones, Michael Gallup, Elijah Moore, Nico Collins, and Isiah McKenzie available. Even George Pickens is rostered in only 64% of leagues.

While Hollins is an intriguing player in games where the Raiders are missing depth, he’s never going to be the No. 1 and will be, at best, the No. 3 behind Davante Adams and Waller. Players like Pickens, Burks, DPJ, Jones, and Gallup all present a higher ceiling and a better rest-of-season value due to more security in their individual roles.

Hollins does carry some value, though, which makes him worth a look in deeper leagues, but there are others I prefer over him in most formats. And as always, it’s all dependent on your league’s availability.



Source link

Continue Reading
Advertisement

Trending