Connect with us

NFL

Can Samuel be trusted as a game-time decision?

Published

on


One of the big-name free-agent moves of the offseason, Curtis Samuel has had a rocky start with the Washington Football Team thus far. And, due to injuries, he’s forced fantasy football managers into a difficult dilemma on whether to start or sit him in Week 5. With kickoff in just a few hours, how should fantasy managers approach Samuel’s situation? He is clearly less than 100%.

Should you start or sit Curtis Samuel in Week 5?

2021 has been a season to forget so far for Samuel, who has missed the majority of the campaign with a groin injury. He enters Week 5 against the New Orleans Saints a true game-time decision. 

According to NFL Network Insider Ian Rapoport, Samuel is expected to play, but it hinges on how he feels as he goes through pregame warm-ups. Luckily, Washington has the 1 PM ET game, so we will know the final status of Samuel in the first window of NFL inactives.

With Logan Thomas on injured reserve and Antonio Gibson dealing with a stress fracture in his shin, Samuel — if healthy — could be in for a sizeable workload. However, the risk of further re-aggravation also means he could tweak his injury early and leave for the rest of the game with a goose egg in the scoring column. 

Personally, I would sit Samuel in Week 5 and look for a better option in fantasy this week. While you won’t find someone necessarily as talented as Samuel, they would likely be a safer option.

Check the waiver wire for someone like Tim Patrick, who is 10th in fantasy points per target at 2.54. Or maybe Kadarius Toney, who is coming off a 9-target game and has both Darius Slayton and Sterling Shepard out for Sunday. Even stick with the same game and use J.D. McKissic if you can slot him into your flex. 

When healthy, Curtis Samuel will be a fantasy asset

When he is not making us cry in the club with his pregame ritual with D.J. Moore, Samuel is one of the most versatile receivers in the NFL.

In 2020, Samuel greatly benefited from the creativity of Joe Brady, who unlocked a player we all believed was there. In 15 games, Samuel set career highs in catches, reception percentage, and yards. Targeted 97 times, Samuel caught 77 passes for 851 yards and 3 touchdowns. He also set personal records as a rusher, carrying the ball 41 times for 200 yards and 2 touchdowns.

This breakout was a welcome sign of relief to longtime fantasy managers of Samuel. From 2018 to 2019, Samuel only saw a 14.8% target share (170 targets), catching 93 passes (54.7%) for 1,121 yards and 11 touchdowns. He did see some work in the rushing game, carrying the ball 27 times for 214 yards and 3 touchdowns, but nothing to the extent of his 2020 breakout campaign.

Samuel cashed in during free agency as he reunited with his former head coach Ron Rivera in Washington to the tune of a three-year, $34.5 million contract, including a $12 million signing bonus and $23 million fully guaranteed.

Samuel has dealt with a nagging groin injury this summer

While I am sure we want him in our lineups, Washington wants Samuel on its active roster even more. Since the spring, Samuel has been dealing with a nagging groin injury and managed only a couple of practices all summer before the team shut him down and placed him on short-term IR.

At first glance, it seemed the time off allowed his injury to fully heal. But the news of Samuel as a DNP on both Wednesday and Thursday could mean he re-aggravated the soft tissue injury last week. In his debut last Sunday, he caught 4 passes for 19 yards on 22 offensive snaps.

Once he is fully healthy, Samuel will be a critical component of the Washington offense as the No. 2 option in the passing game alongside Terry McLaurin.





Source link

NFL

Would the Dolphins really trade him?

Published

on

By


Following internet reports that the Miami Dolphins may be set to trade for Deshaun Watson, additional internet reports — or more specifically, rumors — have emerged. The second set of trade rumors revolves around current Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and his future in Miami.

Would the Dolphins really trade him, even if they made a deal for Watson? Back in September, PFN Analyst and Insider Adam Beasley reported that the Dolphins could keep both Tua and Watson on the roster. But have things changed? We’re not sure. If they have, where could Tua land if a trade was completed between the Dolphins and another team?

Tua Tagovailoa Trade Rumors: Potential landing spots

Which teams might be interested in acquiring Tua during just his second year in the league if the Dolphins do, in fact, trade him? There has been lots of speculation around several teams, including the Washington Football Team, Denver Broncos, and the Houston Texans. But are any of them even interested in the second-year quarterback?

Denver Broncos

The Broncos certainly do not have a stable situation at QB. Between Drew Lock’s inconsistent play and Teddy Bridgewater’s one-year prove-it contract, Tua would provide the Broncos another shot at finding their franchise QB. Given the precarious 2022 NFL Draft QB class, the Broncos may feel that the relatively known quantity of Tua is worth the risk.

While the rumors have swirled, there have also been reports that the Broncos are not interested. Given that there is currently uncertainty surrounding the future of the coaching staff in Denver, it would seem odd to throw another QB into an already confusing mix.

Another team with uncertainty at the QB position is Washington. After they lost Ryan Fitzpatrick to a hip injury, Washington has been starting Taylor Heinicke. Heinicke has provided a spark for Washington. However, he’s produced mixed results on the field with 9 touchdowns and 6 interceptions in 2021.

If Washington were to make the move for Tua, he would almost certainly replace Heinicke as the starter when up to speed with the offense. The problem for Washington is that a trade for Tua might signal to the fanbase the team is giving up on the 2021 season at 2-4. Sitting just a game out of a Wild Card spot in the NFC, it’s too early for Washington to throw in the towel.

However, much like with Denver, sources close to the situation are saying that Washington has not been in discussions with Miami or Houston regarding a trade.

Interestingly, the Dolphins and Washington made a similar trade nearly 50 years ago. In 1974, Washington traded a first-round pick in the 1976 NFL Draft to obtain the rights to Joe Theismann from Miami. Theismann would not start at QB for Washington until 1978 but would go on to win a Super Bowl and be named NFL MVP in 1983.

Houston Texans

Naturally, the Houston Texans have to be listed as a potential landing spot. Davis Mills and Tyrod Taylor are unlikely to be the long-term futures of the franchise. And if Watson is leaving, taking a flyer on Tua would make sense. The problem is that acquiring Tua would reduce the draft pick package the Texans would receive for Watson.

If Tua then turns out not to be the answer, the Texans would likely have cost themselves a reasonably high-value draft pick by acquiring Tua. If they were to make the move, Houston would need to feel confident that they could maximize Tua’s value on his rookie contract. Looking at their roster, the Texans do not appear to be in the situation to do that right now.

Pittsburgh Steelers

The end of Ben Roethlisberger’s time in Pittsburgh is not far away. The veteran QB is in clear decline, and the Steelers need a plan for the future. That plan does not appear to be on their roster at the moment, and Pittsburgh will likely have to use significant draft capital to acquire its QB of the future. A trade for Tua could be the quickest answer to preventing an entire rebuild.

New Orleans Saints

The Saints are still looking for a replacement for Drew Brees. They have a QB-friendly offense that has been built on a short, sharp passing game. That is exactly what Tua has been running in Miami. Sean Payton and the Saints simply do it better. Imagine the parallel if the Dolphins trade Tua to be Brees’ replacement, only for Tua to be the long-term answer for that franchise?

What would a trade package look like for Tua?

We rarely witness a situation quite like this one. A top college player who was selected as a top-five pick in his draft is seemingly available within two years of being selected — and during the season, to boot. We rarely see top-tier quarterbacks traded, and when we do, it’s usually later in their careers.

This past offseason, Matthew Stafford was traded for two first-round picks, a third-round pick, and Jared Goff. Some of that cost seemed to account for Detroit taking on Goff’s huge contract, but a fair chunk was just the price of acquiring Stafford.

Now, by no means is Tua as good as Stafford. However, the potential that Tua carries is the key to any valuation. If a team believes Tua still has the potential to be a top-10 quarterback, they might be willing to pay a little more than many expect.

Valuing Tua right now is almost impossible. He has started just 12 games in his career and spent his first season recovering from an extremely serious hip injury that he suffered in his final year at college. Through those 12 games, Tua has 14 touchdowns, 7 interceptions, a 64.1% completion rate while averaging 181.4 yards per game and 6.4 yards per attempt. Not exactly world-beating numbers, but not horrific either.

The Josh Rosen trade could give us a blueprint for Tua’s asking price

The trade for Josh Rosen is a pretty close example. The biggest difference is that Rosen was traded in the offseason, during the 2019 NFL Draft. Interestingly, it was the Dolphins that acquired Rosen in that deal.

When that trade was made in April 2019, Rosen had started 13 games. He’d thrown 11 touchdowns, 14 interceptions, had a completion rate of 55.2%, and was averaging 162.7 yards per game and 5.8 yards per attempt. The Cardinals dealt Rosen for a 2019 second-round pick and 2020 fifth-round choice after selecting Kyler Murray first overall in the 2019 NFL Draft.

Tua’s numbers are clearly better than Rosen’s. However, the situation is similar in that Miami might trade Tua because they are acquiring another QB. Therefore, while Miami might not have the leverage to command a significantly higher price, it should be at least somewhat more favorable.

Based on the Rosen and Stafford trades, a reasonable package for Tua would be along the lines of a first- and third/fourth-round selection. The intriguing element will be whether the Dolphins trade first Tua away to gain capital to acquire Watson, or if we see him dealt as part of a three-team deal that nets Watson.





Source link

Continue Reading

NFL

Saints vs. Seahawks prediction, pick, odds, and how to watch the Week 7 game

Published

on

By


This New Orleans Saints vs. Seattle Seahawks matchup is a little bit less intriguing than the NFL had originally planned, with Seattle rolling with Geno Smith under center while Russell Wilson is injured. With Seattle hanging onto a thread in the NFC West, will a home game against Jameis Winston be enough to save their season? Here are the TV channels and ways to listen, the current NFL odds, and our pick and prediction for the Saints vs. Seahawks game.

New Orleans Saints vs. Seattle Seahawks prediction and odds | Week 7

  • Spread: Saints -5
  • Moneyline: Saints -226, Seahawks +188
  • Over/Under: 43.5 (Over -110, Under -110)

Odds from DraftKings sportsbook

Saints vs. Seahawks prediction

For the past several years, a Saints vs. Seahawks game would have been a marquee matchup of future Hall of Fame quarterbacks Drew Brees and Russell Wilson. That is far from what we are going to get in this one. Brees retired this offseason, and Wilson is out until at least Week 10 with a finger injury. So instead, we will be getting Geno Smith and Jameis Winston.

After stepping in for Wilson after the injury, Smith looked good and almost led the team to a comeback victory against the Rams. Unfortunately, the next week they lost to the Steelers in overtime. It was a good effort, but the Seahawks are now below .500.

The Saints, meanwhile, have been up and down all year. During their tour of the NFC East, they lost to the lowly New York Giants but then followed that up with a win against the Washington Football Team. You just never know which version of Winston you are going to get.

Injuries clouding the picture for both Seattle and New Orleans

It’s not only Wilson out for Seattle — there are also question marks surrounding their running back corps. Chris Carson is on IR with a neck injury, and his replacement Alex Collins, who played well last week, will also miss this matchup. That means Rashaad Penny will likely get the bulk of the carries for the Seahawks.

Things are not much better for New Orleans. Their injury report includes offensive linemen Erik McCoy and Terron Armstead, defensive end Marcus Davenport, linebacker Kwon Alexander, and others.

With both teams beat up, I think the play is to the under 43.5. Both offenses will struggle, and I have little faith that Smith will be able to accomplish much this time around.

Saints vs. Seahawks Prediction: Saints 17, Seattle 10

How to watch and listen to Saints vs. Seahawks this week

  • Start time: 8:15 PM ET
  • Channel: ESPN
  • Live stream:
    • Hulu + Live TV
    • fuboTV
    • YouTube TV
    • DirecTV NFL Sunday Ticket
    • NFL Mobile App
    • NFL GamePass
  • Listen:
    • Local Seattle: 710 ESPN Seattle, KIRO Radio 97.3, & Westwood One
    • Local New Orleans: WWL 870 AM/105.3 FM
    • TuneIn Radio
    • Sirius XM Radio



Source link

Continue Reading

NFL

Colts vs. 49ers prediction, pick, odds, and how to watch the Week 7 game

Published

on

By


The Colts vs. 49ers is a battle between two very different teams. On one side, you have the Colts, who are coming off a dominant performance against the Texans. On the other, you have the 49ers, who still have questions at the QB position and are now coming off a bye. Here’s the channel for the Week 7 contest, the current NFL odds, and a pick and prediction.

Indianapolis Colts vs. San Francisco 49ers prediction and odds | Week 7

  • Spread: San Francisco 49ers -3.5
  • Moneyline: 49ers -210, Colts +175
  • Over/Under: 45 (Over -110, Under -110)
  • Odds from DraftKings sportsbook.

The Indianapolis Colts come into this game looking to build off their 31-3 win over the Houston Texans last week. They are still a long way from the top of the AFC South at 2-4, but a somewhat easy schedule in the coming weeks could put them back in contention.

Carson Wentz has thrown for 1,545 yards, 9 touchdowns, and an interception on 64.2% passing so far this year, and he looks more and more comfortable in the Indianapolis’ offense as the season progresses. Meanwhile, Jonathan Taylor has rushed for a team-high 472 yards and 4 touchdowns. His game against Houston was his best of the year, and he is finally falling into the RB1 role that everyone imagined for him.

The 49ers are coming off a bye but suffered a tough 17-10 loss to the Cardinals the week before. They played Arizona well, and in hindsight, a one-TD loss to the only undefeated team in the NFL is not a bad thing. The bigger problem is that they’re dealing with two banged-up QBs in Jimmy Garoppolo and Trey Lance and a mess at the RB position. It still isn’t clear who their lead back will be in this contest.

Colts vs. 49ers prediction

If you had asked me this question at the beginning of the season, I never would have thought of predicting a possible upset for the Colts on the road against San Francisco. However, here we are. Indianapolis is 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games and 4-1 ATS in their last five contests overall. Wentz is playing like the best QB in this matchup, and as great as the 49ers’ coaching staff is, they have their hands tied behind their backs due to injuries.

Colts vs. 49ers prediction: Colts 24, 49ers 21

How to watch and listen to Colts vs. 49ers this week

  • Start time: 8:20 PM ET
  • Channel: NBC
  • Live stream: 
    • Sling
    • NBC App
    • Hulu + Live TV
    • fuboTV
    • YouTube TV
    • DirecTV NFL Sunday Ticket
  • Listen:
    • Local Indianapolis: Indianapolis on 93.5 & 107.5 The Fan and 97.1 HANK FM.
    • Local San Francisco: KGO 810 AM and KSAN 107.7 FM The Bone
    • TuneIn Radio
    • Sirius XM Radio

Ryan Gosling is the Chief Written Content Officer for Pro Football Network. Follow him on Twitter @ryangoslingPFN.





Source link

Continue Reading
Advertisement

Trending